Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.044396 0.048404 0.052475 0.056912 0.061605 0.066413 0.071705
2024-12-29 0.038347 0.044223 0.050416 0.057403 0.065040 0.073108 0.082249
2025-01-05 0.033680 0.040894 0.048758 0.057903 0.068183 0.079322 0.092244
2025-01-12 0.029273 0.037356 0.046452 0.057330 0.069874 0.083774 0.100232
2025-01-19 0.026446 0.035306 0.045563 0.058135 0.072949 0.089678 0.109820
2025-01-26 0.023394 0.032681 0.043742 0.057626 0.074328 0.093522 0.116995
2025-02-02 0.021184 0.030870 0.042708 0.057889 0.076487 0.098191 0.125087
2025-02-09 0.019672 0.029788 0.042443 0.058981 0.079564 0.103900 0.134401
2025-02-16 0.018932 0.029626 0.043272 0.061385 0.084223 0.111515 0.146033
2025-02-23 0.016431 0.026913 0.040655 0.059285 0.083184 0.112147 0.149211
2025-03-02 0.014767 0.025208 0.039233 0.058604 0.083826 0.114759 0.154741
2025-03-09 0.013374 0.023774 0.038074 0.058175 0.084717 0.117629 0.160561
2025-03-16 0.012902 0.023672 0.038753 0.060240 0.088910 0.124756 0.171832
2025-03-23 0.012117 0.023046 0.038663 0.061246 0.091728 0.130182 0.181053
2025-03-30 0.011336 0.022362 0.038445 0.062046 0.094264 0.135262 0.189884
2025-04-06 0.010263 0.021133 0.037368 0.061598 0.095098 0.138144 0.195945
2025-04-13 0.009663 0.020616 0.037296 0.062529 0.097772 0.143406 0.205058
2025-04-20 0.008748 0.019500 0.036265 0.062041 0.098479 0.146088 0.210872
2025-04-27 0.008107 0.018794 0.035809 0.062345 0.100246 0.150151 0.218472
2025-05-04 0.007718 0.018495 0.035957 0.063509 0.103197 0.155781 0.228126
2025-05-11 0.007659 0.018784 0.037030 0.066049 0.108090 0.164029 0.241246
2025-05-18 0.006605 0.017151 0.034963 0.063842 0.106257 0.163261 0.242559
2025-05-25 0.005943 0.016190 0.033924 0.063127 0.106491 0.165233 0.247453